The SNP did well north of the border in the recent General Election, taking more than 75% of seats, with Labour and the Tories left far behind. So on the face of it, you might think Party Leader, Nichola Sturgeon, is secure in her job, but I predict her days are numbered. I predict she’ll be gone this summer.
The SNP has been bombarded by scandal recently, and the air will soon be thick with feathers as all those chickens come home to roost.
First, the scandal of Alex Salmond, previous SNP leader, in court on charges of attempted rape and sexual assault. Salmond claims he’s innocent and has already sued the Edinburgh Government for £500,000 over how they dismissed him when the allegations first surfaced, but however this goes, it looks bad for Nichola Sturgeon’s leadership.
Next, the fall of Derek Mackay, disgraced SNP Finance Secretary and Sturgeon’s right-hand man, who sent 270 personal messages to a 16-year-old schoolboy, before resigning. Here’s the BBC report.
Ms Sturgeon is also in trouble with the police after staging a light-show in Brussels on the night we left the EU, misrepresenting it as an act of ‘solidarity’ by Europe when it was really a pointless PR stunt which left the EU incandescent with rage for dragging them into domestic UK politics. Here’s the link for that one.
The Scottish NHS is near collapse, with patients on trolleys in corridors and waiting lists to make the English version look like a model of efficiency. You can read about it here in the Edinburgh Times.
But the real problem for Nichola Sturgeon is that she cannot deliver her basic, core promise on an Independence Referendum because London won’t give her one, and Brexit is shifting the ground beneath her. Nichola Sturgeon has marched her troops to the top of the hill and doesn’t know what to do next.
Add all that lot together (and that she’s generally unpopular among her own colleagues), and I predict the SNP will have a new leader by August. We’ll see.
David Challice
UKIP Head Office